(Press-News.org) COLLEGE PARK, Md. - Only one in four Americans favors Israel conducting a military strike against Iran's nuclear program, finds a new University of Maryland poll. Nearly seven in ten (69 percent) favor the United States and other major powers continuing to pursue negotiations with Iran, a position supported by majorities of Republicans (58 percent), Democrats (79 percent) and Independents (67 percent).
Consistent with this emphasis on a diplomatic approach, three in four Americans say that the United States should primarily act through the U.N. Security Council rather than by itself in dealing with the problem of Iran's nuclear program.
The University of Maryland Sadat Chair for Peace and Development and PIPA, the University of Maryland-affiliated Program on International Policy Attitudes, conducted the study. The polling project was directed by Steven Kull, PIPA director, and Shibley Telhami, UMD Anwar Sadat Professor.
The poll of 727 Americans has a margin of error of +/-4.5% and was fielded between March 3 and 7 by Knowledge Networks.
IF ISRAEL ACTS?
If Israel goes ahead with a military strike against Iran's nuclear program and Iran retaliates - but not against American targets - only 25 percent favor the United States providing military forces should Israel request them (though support is a bit higher among Republicans at 41 percent). Another 14 percent favors the United States providing diplomatic support only.
The most popular position is for the United States to take a neutral stance, which is supported by 49 percent. This figure includes 27 percent who would also favor active efforts to end the hostilities and 22 percent who think the United States should simply not get involved.
Asked to predict what the U.S. government would actually do if Israel strikes, a slight majority (54 percent) thinks that the United States would at least provide diplomatic support. This figure includes 32 percent who think that it would join the conflict militarily.
Only 14 percent of respondents indicate the United States should encourage Israel to strike Iran's program, but views are mixed as to whether it should openly discourage Israel or stay neutral.
EFFECTIVENESS OF A PRE-EMPTIVE STRIKE
"One of the reasons Americans are so cool toward the idea of Israel attacking Iran's nuclear program is that most believe that it is not likely to produce much benefit," says the poll's co-director Steven Kull, who directs PIPA.
Only 18 percent believe that a military strike would delay Iran's abilities to develop a nuclear weapon for more than five years. A majority believes that a strike would delay Iran just one or two years (20 percent), will have no effect (nine percent), or will even have the effect of accelerating Iran's program (22 percent). One in five believes that it would delay Iran's program between three and five years.
"Interestingly, these results are barely different from the view of Israelis who were asked the same question in a February poll I conducted there," adds poll co-director Shibley Telhami, the UMD Sadat Chair. See Israeli poll (fielded by the Dahaf Insitute) details here: http://ter.ps/gn.
In the current study, less than half (42 percent) believe that a strike would weaken the Iranian government - again, Israelis were similar, with 45 percent holding this view.
Also, few Americans believe that a strike will involve a short exchange. Rather, a large majority believes an Israeli strike would lead to an armed conflict between Israel and Iran that would last months (26 percent) or even years (48 percent). A small number have the more optimistic view that it would last just weeks (12 percent) or days (9 percent).
When asked similar questions in February, Israelis were a bit more optimistic, but still only a minority believed that a conflict would last weeks (19 percent) or days (18 percent).
IRAN'S NUCLEAR PROGRESS
Americans' reluctance to support a military strike does not appear to arise from a sanguine attitude about Iran's nuclear program. Americans show substantial pessimism about Iran and its nuclear progress.
Most Americans (58 percent) believe that Iran has decided to try producing nuclear weapons, and is actively working to do so. Only 30 percent agree with the view of U.S. intelligence services: "that Iran is developing some of the technical ability necessary to produce nuclear weapons, but has not decided whether to produce them." Even fewer (six percent) believe Iran's stated position that it is producing nuclear fuel strictly for its energy needs.
As for long-term prospects, nine in ten believe it at least somewhat likely that Iran will eventually develop nuclear weapons. If Iran succeeded in developing nuclear weapons, 62 percent believe it likely these would be use against Israel, while just 32 percent believe that Iran would be deterred for fear of being destroyed in a retaliatory strike.
If Iran develops nuclear weapons the largest concerns are that Iran would either use nuclear weapons (44 percent) or that Iran would feel emboldened to pursue aggressive policies toward the United States and its allies (24 percent). A lesser concern (19 percent) is that it would engender a nuclear arms race in the region.
###
POLL DETAILS
This study was conducted using the web-enabled KnowledgePanel®, a probability-based panel designed to be representative of the U.S. population. Initially, participants are chosen scientifically by a random selection of telephone numbers and residential addresses. Persons in selected households are then invited by telephone or by mail to participate in the web-enabled KnowledgePanel®. For those who agree to participate, but do not already have Internet access, Knowledge Networks provides a laptop and ISP connection. Spanish only speakers are provided with Spanish questionnaires. Additional technical information is available at http://www.knowledgenetworks.com/ganp/reviewer-info.html.
MEDIA CONTACTS:
Shibley Telhami
301-405-6734
Steven Kull
202-232-7500
Neil Tickner
UMD Communications
301-405-4622
ntickner@umd.edu
American public opposes Israel striking Iran: UMD poll
US should stay out militarily of any Israel-Iran military conflict, poll finds
2012-03-14
ELSE PRESS RELEASES FROM THIS DATE:
Just 60 seconds of combat impairs memory
2012-03-14
Just 60 seconds of all-out physical exertion in a threatening situation can seriously damage the memories of those involved for many details of the incident, according to a new study of police officers.
Police officers, witnesses and victims of crime suffer loss of memory, recognition and awareness of their environment if they have had to use bursts of physical energy in a combative encounter, according to scientists.
Researchers, led by Dr Lorraine Hope of the University of Portsmouth, found that less than 60 seconds of all-out exertion, as might happen when an officer ...
Cell Phone Use by Pedestrians Rife With Dangers, According to New Study
2012-03-14
We have all heard about the risks of texting behind the wheel, but walkers who are glued to their mobile devices may also pose a risk. According to a new study, talking on a cell phone or texting while walking can have a drastic impact on pedestrian safety.
Cell Phone Users Found To Be Imprecise Walkers
In the study from Stony Brook University, 33 men and women in their 20s, all of them familiar with cell phone use and texting, were shown a target on the floor approximately 25 feet away. They were then blindfolded, and instructed to walk to the target at a comfortable ...
Barrier to faster graphene devices identified and suppressed
2012-03-14
These days graphene is the rock star of materials science, but it has an Achilles heel: It is exceptionally sensitive to its electrical environment.
This single-atom-thick honeycomb of carbon atoms is lighter than aluminum, stronger than steel and conducts heat and electricity better than copper. As a result, scientists around the world are trying to turn it into better computer displays, solar panels, touch screens, integrated circuits and biomedical sensors, among other possible applications. However, it has proven extremely difficult to reliably create graphene-based ...
Premises Liability Designed to Protect Citizens from Sidewalk Hazards
2012-03-14
Premises liability is an area of law designed to protect certain individuals from unsafe or dangerous conditions.
Generally, most premise liability cases involve slip and fall accidents. This type of accident can occur in many situations, ranging from tripping on a product in a store aisle to slipping on an ice covered sidewalk. Such accidents can result in serious injuries, and negligent property owners in New York City and all across the country can be held accountable for these injuries under the law.
New York City's Premises Liability Law and Sidewalks
Premises ...
Genome sequencing initiative links altered gene to age-related neuroblastoma risk
2012-03-14
Researchers have identified the first gene mutation associated with a chronic and often fatal form of neuroblastoma that typically strikes adolescents and young adults. The finding provides the first clue about the genetic basis of the long-recognized but poorly understood link between treatment outcome and age at diagnosis.
The study involved 104 infants, children and young adults with advanced neuroblastoma, a cancer of the sympathetic nervous system. Investigators discovered the ATRX gene was mutated only in patients age 5 and older. The alterations occurred most often ...
The Pros and Cons of Using Loan Modifications to Fight Foreclosure
2012-03-14
Our meandering economy has pushed the finances of many families quite literally to the breaking point. When reserves have been exhausted, homeowners struggle to find a way to pay their mortgages. Often people look to loan modifications to avoid home foreclosure.
Unlike a refinance of a home, a loan modification does not create a new loan. Loan modifications are simply changes made to the existing loan. The terms of the loan are renegotiated to make it more affordable.
The Challenge of Loan Modifications
All too often, however, the loan modification process can ...
Sex-Offender Registry in New Jersey: What Does Megan's Law Require?
2012-03-14
As the state that first initiated the registration process commonly known as Megan's Law in 1994, New Jersey imposes serious consequences on individuals convicted of sex crimes against children. Anyone facing allegations of child molestation, child-pornography possession or child sexual assault should know that, in addition to prison and a criminal record, the consequences of a conviction can include lifetime registration as a sex offender.
New Jersey's criminal-justice code mandates registration by certain sex offenders and authorizes publication of their presence within ...
New York Workers' Compensation: No Employer Repayment for Concurrent-Job Benefits
2012-03-14
Doing business in New York is more expensive for employers and their workers' compensation insurers because of a 2007 change in state workers' compensation law. Thomas v. Warren County DPW, a recent New York state court decision, interpreted that amendment.
Thomas confirms a series of judicial opinions holding that employers (or their workers' comp insurance carriers) may no longer be reimbursed out of a public fund for those portions of higher workers' compensation benefits paid out to employees for wages lost from second jobs they held when they were injured.
The ...
Four Subway Deaths in 24 Hours -- Some Safety Reminders
2012-03-14
Subways and buses are the preferred mode of transportation for millions of New Yorkers every day. Not only is public transportation convenient, but it also helps protect the environment. And, best of all, there is no need to find parking, which is either very expensive or unavailable.
Yet, the convenience comes with some safety concerns, as evidenced by four fatal NYC subway accidents that occurred in a recent 24-hour period in the New York subway system. The causes of death ranged from intoxication, slipping and falling on the stairs, and, finally, people inexplicably ...
Standard Life Reveals "Don't Spend What you Don't Have" as Top Money Saving Tactic in UK
2012-03-14
Research carried out for Standard Life suggests that, in the last three years, 5.3 million additional UK adults* have started adopting money saving habits, such as reviewing their utility providers, going online to find the best deals and using online voucher codes to save money. According to Standard Life's 'Financial Efficiency' research, the recent downturn has now encouraged more than nine out of ten (91%) of us to engage in financially efficient behaviors.
But the most popular tactic, adopted by three in five people (57%), is a common sense approach - avoid spending ...
LAST 30 PRESS RELEASES:
Less intensive works best for agricultural soil
Arctic rivers project receives “national champion” designation from frontiers foundation
Computational biology paves the way for new ALS tests
Study offers new hope for babies born with opioid withdrawal syndrome
UT, Volkswagen Group of America celebrate research partnership
New Medicare program could dramatically improve affordability for cancer drugs – if patients enroll
Are ‘zombie’ skin cells harmful or helpful? The answer may be in their shapes
University of Cincinnati Cancer Center presents research at AACR 2025
Head and neck, breast, lung and survivorship studies headline Dana-Farber research at AACR Annual Meeting 2025
AACR: Researchers share promising results from MD Anderson clinical trials
New research explains why our waistlines expand in middle age
Advancements in muon detection: Taishan Antineutrino Observatory's innovative top veto tracker
Chips off the old block
Microvascular decompression combined with nerve combing for atypical trigeminal neuralgia
Cutting the complexity from digital carpentry
Lung immune cell type “quietly” controls inflammation in COVID-19
Fiscal impact of expanded Medicare coverage for GLP-1 receptor agonists to treat obesity
State and sociodemographic trends in US cigarette smoking with future projections
Young adults drive historic decline in smoking
NFCR congratulates Dr. Robert C. Bast, Jr. on receiving the AACR-Daniel D. Von Hoff Award for Outstanding Contributions to Education and Training in Cancer Research
Chimpanzee stem cells offer new insights into early embryonic development
This injected protein-like polymer helps tissues heal after a heart attack
FlexTech inaugural issue launches, pioneering interdisciplinary innovation in flexible technology
In Down syndrome mice, 40Hz light and sound improve cognition, neurogenesis, connectivity
Methyl eugenol: potential to inhibit oxidative stress, address related diseases, and its toxicological effects
A vascularized multilayer chip reveals shear stress-induced angiogenesis in diverse fluid conditions
AI helps unravel a cause of Alzheimer's disease and identify a therapeutic candidate
Coalition of Autism Scientists critiques US Department of Health and Human Services Autism Research Initiative
Structure dictates effectiveness, safety in nanomedicine
Mission accomplished for the “T2T” Hong Kong Bauhinia Genome Project
[Press-News.org] American public opposes Israel striking Iran: UMD pollUS should stay out militarily of any Israel-Iran military conflict, poll finds